Real Estate Newsletter September 2006
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Note from Joseph:  "There continue to be remarkable opportunities for buyers who stay on top of the market.  These opportunities go pretty quickly once they appear.  I'm here to help 7 days a week, so give me a call for any reason."

Joseph Whitcombe is a REALTOR, real estate broker, and attorney at law.  Mr. Whitcombe specializes in serving buyers and sellers of homes, condos, and investment properties in Davis, California.  Whitcombe & Co. had the highest average transaction value of any real estate agency in Davis in 2005.

Call Joseph at (530) 219-1000 for any reason...

Email Joseph at:  contact@davismls.com

In This Issue:
  * August Real Estate Market Report For Davis
  * Listings of note

August Market Report For Davis:  Busy market, stable prices, overall inventories declining, but jump in time on market.

  August 2006 was another busy month for the Davis real estate market.  55 homes, condos, and halfplexes closed escrow (note that this number is actually indicative of market activity in July 2006 when most of the sales actually went pending).  While that was down from the blistering pace of 74 and 75 closed in June and July, respectively, it is still very respectable.  It was also down from August 2005, arguable the hottest month in Davis market history, when there were 66 closings.  

The most interesting thing about the August data is that the average time on market showed a large jump, from 49 to 69 days.  Housing prices using my favorite measure, median price per square foot, were roughly the same, at $332.51 per square foot, up from $330.81 in July.  The much more volatile median price jumped to $580,000 from $540,000 in July.

Overall inventory in Davis has fallen to 235 units, down from a high of about 265 in the Spring.

Price Range Current Market Conditions
Up to $300,000

The sub-$300,000 market slipped back into "buyers market" territory from a "neutral' market" after only two sales in August.  There are currently 13 units, all condos, in this price range.  That's a technical supply of over 6 months.  Buyers are negotiating more effectively, getting an average of about $10,000 off list prices.

$300,001-$400,000

The market remained in "buyers' market" territory, with about six months' supply.  About half the buyers in this price range are getting price concessions from sellers in the $5,000 range, while others pay full list price.

$400,001-$500,000

After several listing cancellations and expirations, inventory fell from 53 to 46.  With 46 units on the market, and 6 pending sales in the last month, this price range moved from "neutral" into "buyers" market territory with over seven months' inventory.  Accordingly, there is more negotiating room, with some buyers getting more than $15,000 off of list prices.

$500,001-$600,000

With 41 units on the market, and 9 pending sales in the last month, this market segment remains in "neutral market" territory.  Sales remain quite brisk, with an average of about one sale every third day.  Well represented buyers with a level-headed negotiating strategy are sometimes getting significant price concessions in this price range in the $20,000 range, but most are closer to $5000 to $10,000.

$600,001-$700,000

With 38 units on the market, and 7 pending sales, this market segment is in "neutral market" territory.  Price concessions were less impressive in this segment, usually in the $5000 to $10,000 range.

$700,001-$800,000

With a flurry of sales and 7 canceled listings, inventory in this price range dropped to 24 listings.  With 10 pending sales in the last month, this price range has entered "sellers market" territory with under three months' supply.  Even if you add the canceled listings back into inventory, there is still just barely over three months' inventory.  Price concessions were all over the board, from zero to as much as $74,000.  

$800,001-$1,000,000

With 24 listings, and only one pending sale in the last 30 days, this price segment is decidedly in "buyers' market" territory.  Inventory dropped due to 8 canceled listings.  As you might expect, some buyers are achieving price concessions in the $20,000-plus range.  More price drops are likely moving forward.

Over $1,000,000

After a relative flurry of six sales in the $1,000,000-plus range in the last month, inventory in this price range is now only 15 listings.  With less than three month's inventory, we are now technically in a "sellers' market" in this price range.  Although open house traffic has slowed from the hot pace in July, there are still a significant number of serious buyers in the market.  Buyers continue to secure significant price concessions.  

Income Properties

With 15 listings and two pending sales in the last month, the income property market has returned to a "buyers market."

Estimates reflect Whitcombe & Co.'s subjective assessment of Davis real estate market conditions based on sales and listing data from the MLS, general market activity, and buyer and seller attitudes.  A sellers' real estate market is indicated when homes sell quickly at or above their listing prices, and/or when inventories are low.  A neutral real estate market is indicated when homes sell at or just below their listing prices within a reasonable period of time, and/or inventories are moderate.  A buyers' real estate market is indicated when homes tend to sell for significantly less than their list prices, remain on the market for longer periods of time, and/or inventories are high.
Listings of note
 

Cosmetic Fixer 4/2 with pool on large lot at $519,000:  After starting at $549,000 and sitting on the market for 94  days, this property is a good opportunity for someone willing to do some work.  For info, call (530) 219-1000.

Modern 1624 Sqft. 3/2.5 In South Davis at $495,000:  This is the best deal on a newer home this size now on the market. For info, call (530) 219-1000.

Modern 2778 Sqft. 5/3 at $624,900:  At $224.95 per square foot, I'm tempted to buy this home myself, and I doubt it will last long.  It is so reasonably priced because it is located near the Superfund site (more a psychological than a real problem), and near where the new Target store may be located (if it wins the November election; my sources say it looks like it will, but who knows).  Still, I think this house is a steal, either as a rental or a residence.  For info, call (530) 219-1000.

3154 Sqft. 5/3.5 in Stonegate at $816,000:  The price on this home has dropped from $979,000.  This home is on a nearly 10,000 Sqft. lot and is priced to SELL.  If your top price is around $800,000, you will not do better.  For info, call (530) 219-1000.

Incredible Aspen Home at $1,199,000:  This listing (by Whitcombe & Co.) is a rare opportunity for someone to own one of the largest and best located homes in Aspen and Davis in general.  For info, call (530) 219-1000.

Solar Home In North Davis:  At $389,950 and with 1460 square feet, this listing (by Whitcombe & Co.) is a 2/1 condo in an A+ location in North Davis, complete with a fully functional active solar system.  For info, call (530) 219-1000.

Rare Halfplex In Aspen at $409,000:  This 2/1 halfplex (listed by Whitcombe & Co.) is in an A+ location in Aspen, has new tile and carpet, and a large back yard.  These units are loved by all, and come on the market only rarely.  For info, call (530) 219-1000.

Income property:  A 12-unit apartment complex on near the Core Area presents a great opportunity for someone who can afford it.  This is excellent cash flow for a Davis investment property.  For info, call (530) 219-1000.

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The information in this newsletter is thought to be accurate, but not guaranteed and should not be relied upon for any reason.  If you want accurate advice, you should directly consult a real estate broker.  This Newsletter was prepared on September 8, 2006, and the information contained herein is believed to be accurate as of that date.

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