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The OCTOBER 2006
Market Trends Newsletter is now available. To formally subscribe
to the Newsletter, and get the latest Newsletter every month, just go here
and fill out the contact page. |
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Note from Joseph: "There continue
to be remarkable opportunities for buyers who stay on top of the market. These opportunities go pretty quickly once
they appear. I'm here to help 7 days a week, so give me a call for
any reason."
Joseph Whitcombe is a REALTOR, real estate broker, and attorney at law. Mr. Whitcombe
specializes in serving buyers and sellers of homes, condos, and
investment properties in Davis, California. Whitcombe & Co.
had the highest average transaction value of any real estate agency in
Davis in 2005.
Call Joseph at (530) 219-1000 for any
reason...
Email Joseph at: contact@davismls.com
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In This Issue:
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* August Real Estate Market Report For Davis |
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* Listings of note |
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August Market Report For Davis:
Busy market, stable prices, overall inventories declining, but
jump in time on market. |
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August 2006 was another busy month for the Davis
real estate market. 55 homes, condos, and halfplexes
closed escrow (note that this number is actually
indicative of market activity in July 2006 when most of the sales
actually went pending). While that was down from the
blistering pace of 74 and 75 closed in June and July,
respectively, it is still very respectable. It was
also down from August 2005, arguable the hottest month in
Davis market history, when there were 66
closings.
The most interesting thing about the August data is that
the average time on market showed a large jump, from 49 to
69 days. Housing prices
using my favorite measure, median price per square foot,
were roughly the same, at $332.51 per
square foot, up from $330.81 in July. The much more volatile
median price jumped to $580,000 from $540,000 in July.
Overall inventory in Davis has fallen to 235 units, down
from a high of about 265 in the Spring.

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| Price Range |
Current
Market Conditions |
| Up to
$300,000 |
The
sub-$300,000 market slipped back into "buyers market" territory from a "neutral'
market" after only two sales in August. There are currently
13 units, all condos, in this price range. That's a
technical supply of over 6 months. Buyers are
negotiating more effectively, getting an average of about
$10,000 off list prices.
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| $300,001-$400,000 |
The
market remained in "buyers' market"
territory, with about six months' supply. About
half the buyers in this price range are getting price
concessions from sellers in the $5,000 range, while
others pay full list price.
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| $400,001-$500,000 |
After several listing cancellations
and expirations, inventory fell from 53 to 46. With
46 units on the market, and 6 pending sales in the last
month, this price
range moved from "neutral" into "buyers"
market territory
with over seven months' inventory. Accordingly,
there is more negotiating room, with some buyers getting
more than $15,000 off of list prices.
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| $500,001-$600,000 |
With 41 units on the market, and
9 pending sales in the last month, this market
segment remains in "neutral
market" territory. Sales remain quite brisk,
with an average of about one sale every third day.
Well represented buyers with a level-headed negotiating
strategy are sometimes getting significant price
concessions in this price range in the $20,000 range,
but most are closer to $5000 to $10,000.
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| $600,001-$700,000 |
With 38 units on the market, and
7 pending sales, this market
segment is in "neutral market"
territory. Price concessions were less impressive
in this segment, usually in the $5000 to $10,000 range.
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| $700,001-$800,000 |
With a
flurry of sales and 7 canceled listings, inventory in
this price range dropped to 24 listings. With 10 pending
sales in the last month, this price
range has entered "sellers market" territory
with under three months' supply. Even if you add
the canceled listings back into inventory, there is
still just barely over three months' inventory.
Price concessions were all over the board, from zero to
as much as $74,000.
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| $800,001-$1,000,000 |
With 24 listings, and only
one pending sale in the last 30
days, this price segment is decidedly in "buyers'
market" territory. Inventory dropped due to 8
canceled listings. As you might expect, some buyers are achieving price concessions in
the $20,000-plus range. More price drops are likely moving
forward.
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| Over
$1,000,000 |
After a
relative flurry of six sales in the
$1,000,000-plus range in the last month, inventory in
this price range is now only 15 listings. With
less than three month's inventory, we are now
technically in a "sellers' market" in this
price range. Although open house traffic has
slowed from the hot pace in July, there are still a
significant number of serious buyers in the
market. Buyers continue to
secure significant price concessions.
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| Income
Properties |
With 15 listings and
two pending sales in the last month, the income
property market has returned to a "buyers market."
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| Estimates
reflect Whitcombe & Co.'s subjective assessment of
Davis real estate market conditions based on sales and listing
data from the MLS, general
market activity, and buyer and seller attitudes. A
sellers' real estate market is indicated when homes sell quickly at
or above their listing prices, and/or when inventories are
low. A
neutral real estate market is indicated when homes sell at or just
below their listing prices within a reasonable period of
time, and/or
inventories are moderate. A
buyers' real estate market is indicated when homes tend
to sell for
significantly less than their list prices, remain on
the market for longer periods of time, and/or inventories
are high.
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Listings of note |
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Cosmetic
Fixer 4/2 with pool on large lot at $519,000: After starting at
$549,000 and sitting on the market for 94 days, this
property is a good opportunity for someone willing to do
some work. For info,
call (530) 219-1000.
Modern
1624 Sqft. 3/2.5 In South Davis at $495,000: This
is the best deal on a newer home this size now on the
market. For info,
call (530) 219-1000.
Modern
2778 Sqft. 5/3 at $624,900: At $224.95 per square
foot, I'm tempted to buy this home myself, and I doubt it
will last long. It is so reasonably priced because it
is located near the Superfund site (more a psychological
than a real problem), and near where the new Target store
may be located (if it wins the November election; my sources
say it looks like it will, but who knows). Still, I
think this house is a steal, either as a rental or a
residence. For info,
call (530) 219-1000.
3154
Sqft. 5/3.5 in Stonegate at $816,000: The price on
this home has dropped from $979,000. This home is on a
nearly 10,000 Sqft. lot and is priced to SELL. If your
top price is around $800,000, you will not do better. For info,
call (530) 219-1000.
Incredible
Aspen Home at $1,199,000: This listing (by
Whitcombe & Co.) is a rare opportunity for someone to
own one of the largest and best located homes in Aspen and
Davis in general. For info, call
(530) 219-1000.
Solar
Home In North Davis: At $389,950 and with 1460
square feet, this listing (by Whitcombe
& Co.) is a 2/1 condo in an A+ location in North
Davis, complete with a fully functional active solar
system. For info, call (530) 219-1000.
Rare
Halfplex In Aspen at $409,000: This 2/1 halfplex
(listed by Whitcombe & Co.) is in an A+ location in
Aspen, has new tile and carpet, and a large back yard.
These units are loved by all, and come on the market only
rarely. For info,
call (530) 219-1000.
Income
property: A 12-unit apartment complex on near the
Core Area presents a great opportunity for someone who can
afford it. This
is excellent cash flow for a
Davis investment property. For info, call (530)
219-1000. |
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The information in this
newsletter is thought to be accurate, but not guaranteed and should not
be relied upon for any reason. If you want accurate advice, you
should directly consult a real estate broker. This Newsletter was
prepared on September 8, 2006, and the information contained herein is
believed to be accurate as of that date.
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Copyright
© 2006 Whitcombe & Co., ALL RIGHTS RESERVED
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