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THE DAVIS CALIFORNIA REAL ESTATE
NEWSLETTER
Note from Joseph: "This month's data confirm the notion
that price declines
in the Davis market have stopped, at least for now, and modest price appreciation appears to have
begun. As of this Newsletter, there have been 64 pending
sales in Davis in the last 30 days, and house/condo/halfplex inventory stands at
151 units.
That's less than 2 1/2 months' supply for a second month in a row, and a technical sellers'
market. Although inventories have risen modestly in a normal
seasonal adjustment, buyer activity is strong, and we are beginning to
hear stories about multiple bidders on a very regular basis, especially
in certain price categories. Still, buyers have significant
bargaining power and a good selection above about $600,000."
Joseph Whitcombe is a REALTOR, real estate broker, and
attorney at law, and holds and economics
degree from UCLA. Mr. Whitcombe
specializes in serving buyers and sellers of homes, condos, and
investment properties in Davis, California. Whitcombe & Co.
had the highest average transaction value of any real estate agency in
Davis in 2005 and 2006.
"I'm here to help,
and I need and appreciate your business. If you need a REALTOR,
please give me a call at (530) 219-1000..."
Email Joseph at: contact@davismls.com
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In This Issue:
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* March 2007 Real Estate Market Report For Davis |
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* Listings of note |
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March 2007 Market Report For Davis:
Good sales clip solidly ahead of last year's pace, time on market
rises, overall inventory rises a bit in normal seasonal
adjustment, and prices continue to solidify |
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March is often a transitional month in terms of real
estate closings, with activity somewhere between the slow
winter months and the fast spring months. March 2007
was just that. March 2007 was
a bit stronger than last year (sales were up 14% for the
second newsletter in a row). 50 homes, condos, and halfplexes
closed escrow during March 2007 (up from 43 in March 2006)
(note that
these numbers are actually
indicative of market activity in February 2007 when most of the sales
actually went pending).
In February, the average time on market of sold properties
rose to 89 days as several very old listings finally sold,
approaching the high of 96 days in December. Housing prices
using my favorite measure, median price per square foot,
were $312.09 in March, down from $329.17
in February. The average price per square foot
also fell modestly to $322.00 in March from $329.00 in
January. On the other hand, the volatile median
sale price spiked to $543,000, up from $450,000 in February
(February's number was an obvious statistical aberration).
Taken as a whole, the data again show that prices at least
held their ground in March, and have come off their late
2006 lows.
The overall inventory of homes, condos, and halfplexes in
Davis rose modestly to 151 units, up from 129 at the writing of
the last Newsletter, (and still quite low compared to the high of about 265
units in the Spring of 2006). Increasing inventory is
a normal part of the beginning of the Spring season.

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| Price Range |
Current
Market Conditions |
| Up to
$300,000 |
The
sub-$300,000 market continues in technical
"neutral' market" territory with four units on
the market and one sale in the last 30 days.
Buyers are getting only small price concessions, if any,
on average.
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| $300,001-$400,000 |
This
price range continues in a "sellers market."
There are 31 units on the market, and 13 sales in the
last 30 days. That's an inventory of less than 2.5
months. Price concessions have generally been
$10,000 to $15,000.
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| $400,001-$500,000 |
With 19 units on the market, and
22 pending sales in the last
month, this price range has rocketed into very strong
"sellers market" territory with under one months'
inventory. Price
concessions are getting small or nonexistant, and we
have again seen
some units sell for over the list price (possibly due to a
little bidding war).
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| $500,001-$600,000 |
After a
strong showing at year-end in this segment, there are
now 25 units on the market, and 7 pending sales in the last
month. This market
segment has thus slipped back into into "neutral market"
territory. Price concessions have been all over
the board, but you can probably negotiate $15,000 off
most homes in this category. One would suspect that
the extremely hot market in the $400,000 to $500,000
range will start to push into this segment before long.
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| $600,001-$700,000 |
Inventory
in this price range is currently 27 units. There have been 7 sales in the last month, placing this market segment in
a technical "neutral" market. Price concessions were
all over the board, but you can probably negotiate
$15,000 off most homes in this category.
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| $700,001-$800,000 |
Inventories
stand at 16 listings in this price category. With
six pending sales in last 30 days, this price range
moved sharply into technical "sellers' market" territory.
You can probably negotiate $25,000 off an average home
in this category.
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| $800,001-$1,000,000 |
With 18 listings, and
seven pending sales in the last 30
days, this price segment
continues (for the fourth letter in a row) in technical "sellers' market"
territory. The inventory is now at just under
three month's supply. There continues to be strong demand in this price
category, where you can currently get a very nice house
for under $1 million. You should be able to
negotiate $25,000 to $50,000 off list prices in this
price range.
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| Over
$1,000,000 |
Inventory
in
this price range is now at 11 listings, and there was one pending sale in the last 30 days, placing this segment
in "buyers market" territory. Prices
have been lowered by as much as $250,000 over peak
prices. It may
be a good time to buy in this segment.
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| Income
Properties |
With 12 listings and
no pending sales in the last month, the income
property market has moved into technical "buyers' market"
territory.
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| Estimates
reflect Whitcombe & Co.'s subjective assessment of
Davis real estate market conditions based on sales and listing
data from the MLS, general
market activity, and buyer and seller attitudes. A
sellers' real estate market is indicated when homes sell quickly at
or above their listing prices, and/or when inventories are
low. A
neutral real estate market is indicated when homes sell at or just
below their listing prices within a reasonable period of
time, and/or
inventories are moderate. A
buyers' real estate market is indicated when homes tend
to sell for
significantly less than their list prices, remain on
the market for longer periods of time, and/or inventories
are high.
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Listings of note |
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North Davis 2/1.25 for $360,000: Great
architecture, 1460 square feet, active solar system, parquet
floors, North Davis location, this 2/1.25 is a steal at
$360,000, or about $250/sqft. Schedule
a showing.
Aspen 2/1 for $390,000: Modern Halfplex in Aspen
near wildlife pond on large 4300 square feet lot. Room to add on,
or have a really big garden. Great opportunity for
senior or young professor who wants top quality Davis living
for under $400,000. Schedule
a showing.
Stonegate 4/2 for $410,000: Four bedroom for about
$400,000 makes a perfect investment property. Great
condition. Great rental location. Schedule
a showing.
Willowcreek 4/3 for $550,000: Still on the
market? What's up with that? Special
circumstances mean good deal. Newer 4/3,
over 2000 square feet in nice South Davis
neighborhood. Could get it for around
$550,000. Schedule
a showing.
Downtown 2/2 for $680,000: Amazing downtown
location, fully remodeled 1300 square foot home
unit, plus detached garage, for $680,000. Schedule
a showing.
Northstar 4/3 for $720,000: Great 4/3 in
Northstar. 2200-plus square feet. It's a good
time to make offers in this price range. Schedule
a showing.
Central 3/2.5 for $879,000: Amazing 1900 square
feet 3/2.5 on large lot in prime Central Davis
location. Very nice finishes and updates, elegant
layout, large yard with pool. Short walk
downtown. A good property at $879,000. Schedule
a showing.
Aspen 5/4.5 for $999,000: Premier location
on the West Davis wildlife pond. 3470 sqft.
Marble and hardwood floors. Free form pool.
Balcony overlooking pond. Or you could just live in
Mace Ranch.... Schedule a
showing.
North Davis Farms home for $1,500,000: If you want
to live in the most prestigious Davis neighborhood, and can afford it, there is currently a
4000-plus square foot property available. Amazing property in every
way, as you would expect. Very rare opportunity.
Schedule
a showing.
Investment Property: Prime location, about
6% gross CAP. Excellent deal that will go fast at $1.1
million. Schedule
a showing.
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The information in this
newsletter is thought to be accurate, but not guaranteed and should not
be relied upon for any reason. The opinions in this Newsletter are
provided in good faith, but are not guaranteed to be accurate and
should not be relied upon. If you want advice you can rely on in
making decisions about real estate matters, you
should directly consult a real estate broker. The information
regarding market conditions in this newsletter was derived on April 5,
2007, and is believed to be accurate as of that date.
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Copyright
© 2006 Whitcombe & Co., ALL RI RESERVED
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